The stars at lower right in this image – represented in blue – are a portion of the Leo P dwarf galaxy, location some 5 million light-years away. But look at the other objects in the image. Nearly all are distant galaxies in the direction of the dwarf galaxy Leo P. This image is from NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope. The Webb orbits some million miles away from Earth at the 2nd Lagrange point (L2) in the Earth-sun system. NASA said:
Leo P is a star-forming galaxy located about 5 million light-years away in the constellation Leo. A team of scientists collected data from about 15,000 stars in Leo P to deduce its star formation history. They determined that it went through three phases: an initial burst of star formation, a ‘pause’ that lasted several billion years, and then a new round of star formation that is still continuing.
The image is from Webb’s NIRCam (Near-Infrared Camera), which combines infrared light at wavelengths of 0.9 microns (represented in blue), 1.5 microns (green), and 2.77 microns (red).
The stars in Leo P appear blue in comparison to the background galaxies for several reasons. Young, massive stars that are common in star-forming galaxies are predominantly blue. Leo P also is extremely lacking in elements heavier than hydrogen and helium, and the resulting ‘metal-poor’ stars tend to be bluer than sun-like stars.
A bubble-like structure at bottom center is a region of ionized hydrogen surrounding a hot, massive O-type star.
Bottom line: Researchers used the James Webb Space Telescope to reveal patterns of star formation in an isolated dwarf galaxy called Leo P. The image also captured a host of other galaxies.
The stars at lower right in this image – represented in blue – are a portion of the Leo P dwarf galaxy, location some 5 million light-years away. But look at the other objects in the image. Nearly all are distant galaxies in the direction of the dwarf galaxy Leo P. This image is from NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope. The Webb orbits some million miles away from Earth at the 2nd Lagrange point (L2) in the Earth-sun system. NASA said:
Leo P is a star-forming galaxy located about 5 million light-years away in the constellation Leo. A team of scientists collected data from about 15,000 stars in Leo P to deduce its star formation history. They determined that it went through three phases: an initial burst of star formation, a ‘pause’ that lasted several billion years, and then a new round of star formation that is still continuing.
The image is from Webb’s NIRCam (Near-Infrared Camera), which combines infrared light at wavelengths of 0.9 microns (represented in blue), 1.5 microns (green), and 2.77 microns (red).
The stars in Leo P appear blue in comparison to the background galaxies for several reasons. Young, massive stars that are common in star-forming galaxies are predominantly blue. Leo P also is extremely lacking in elements heavier than hydrogen and helium, and the resulting ‘metal-poor’ stars tend to be bluer than sun-like stars.
A bubble-like structure at bottom center is a region of ionized hydrogen surrounding a hot, massive O-type star.
Bottom line: Researchers used the James Webb Space Telescope to reveal patterns of star formation in an isolated dwarf galaxy called Leo P. The image also captured a host of other galaxies.
The largest photomosaic of the Andromeda galaxy was created with 600 images from the Hubble space telescope.
The image resolves 200 million stars, all brighter than our sun. We can also see star clouds, dust lanes and even background galaxies peeking through.
The image gives us insight into Andromeda’s history. It reveals that Andromeda had more active recent star-formation and interaction with other galaxies than the Milky Way.
On January 16, 2025, NASA and ESA unveiled the largest photomosaic of the Andromeda galaxy, assembled from Hubble Space Telescope observations. Hubble took more than 10 years to collect data for this colorful portrait of our neighboring galaxy. The mosaic consists of more than 600 snapshots. This stunning, colorful mosaic captures the glow of 200 million stars, spread across roughly 2.5 billion pixels.
In the years following the launch of the NASA/ESA Hubble Space Telescope, astronomers have tallied over 1 trillion galaxies in the universe. But only one galaxy stands out as the most important nearby stellar island to our Milky Way: the magnificent Andromeda galaxy (Messier 31). You can see it with the unaided eye from a dark sky on a clear autumn night. It looks like a faint cigar-shaped object roughly the apparent angular diameter of our moon.
A century ago, Edwin Hubble first established that this so-called “spiral nebula” was actually far outside our own Milky Way galaxy, at a distance of approximately 2.5 million light-years, or roughly 25 Milky Way diameters. Prior to that, astronomers had long thought that the Milky Way encompassed the entire universe. Overnight, Hubble’s discovery turned cosmology upside down by unveiling an infinitely grander universe.
Now, a century later, the space telescope named for Hubble has accomplished the most comprehensive survey of this enticing empire of stars. The Hubble telescope is yielding new clues to the evolutionary history of Andromeda, and it looks markedly different from the Milky Way’s history.
Without Andromeda as a proxy for spiral galaxies in the universe at large, astronomers would know much less about the structure and evolution of our own Milky Way. That’s because we are embedded inside the Milky Way.
Hubble’s sharp imaging capabilities can resolve more than 200 million stars in the Andromeda galaxy, detecting only stars brighter than our sun. They look like grains of sand across the beach. But that’s just the tip of the iceberg. Astronomers estimate Andromeda’s total population at around 1 trillion stars, with many less massive stars falling below Hubble’s sensitivity limit.
Photographing Andromeda was a Herculean task because the galaxy is a much bigger target on the sky than the galaxies Hubble routinely observes, which are often billions of light-years away. The full mosaic was carried out under two Hubble observing programs. In total it required over 1,000 Hubble orbits, spanning more than a decade.
This panorama started with the Panchromatic Hubble Andromeda Treasury (PHAT) program about a decade ago. It included images in near-ultraviolet, visible and near-infrared wavelengths. Scientists used the Advanced Camera for Surveys and the Wide Field Camera aboard Hubble to photograph the northern half of Andromeda.
Following this was the Panchromatic Hubble Andromeda Southern Treasury (PHAST). It added images of approximately 100 million stars in the southern half of Andromeda. This region is structurally unique and more sensitive to the galaxy’s merger history than the northern disk mapped by the PHAT survey.
The combined programs collectively cover the entire disk of Andromeda. Andromeda tilts by 77 degrees relative to Earth’s view. The galaxy is so large that the mosaic used approximately 600 separate fields of view. The mosaic image consists of at least 2.5 billion pixels.
Hubble traces hidden history of the Andromeda galaxy
The complementary Hubble survey programs provide information about the age, heavy-element abundance and stellar masses inside Andromeda. This will allow astronomers to distinguish between competing scenarios where Andromeda merged with one or more galaxies. Hubble’s detailed measurements constrain models of Andromeda’s merger history and disk evolution.
Though the Milky Way and Andromeda formed presumably around the same time many billions of years ago, observational evidence shows they have very different evolutionary histories, despite growing up in the same cosmological neighborhood. Andromeda seems to be more highly populated with younger stars and unusual features like coherent streams of stars, say researchers. This implies it has a more active recent star-formation and interaction history than the Milky Way.
A possible culprit is the compact satellite galaxy Messier 32, which resembles the stripped-down core of a once-spiral galaxy that may have interacted with Andromeda in the past. Computer simulations suggest that when a close encounter with another galaxy uses up all the available interstellar gas, star formation subsides.
Bottom line: Astronomers have created the largest photomosaic of the Andromeda galaxy yet using Hubble data.
The largest photomosaic of the Andromeda galaxy was created with 600 images from the Hubble space telescope.
The image resolves 200 million stars, all brighter than our sun. We can also see star clouds, dust lanes and even background galaxies peeking through.
The image gives us insight into Andromeda’s history. It reveals that Andromeda had more active recent star-formation and interaction with other galaxies than the Milky Way.
On January 16, 2025, NASA and ESA unveiled the largest photomosaic of the Andromeda galaxy, assembled from Hubble Space Telescope observations. Hubble took more than 10 years to collect data for this colorful portrait of our neighboring galaxy. The mosaic consists of more than 600 snapshots. This stunning, colorful mosaic captures the glow of 200 million stars, spread across roughly 2.5 billion pixels.
In the years following the launch of the NASA/ESA Hubble Space Telescope, astronomers have tallied over 1 trillion galaxies in the universe. But only one galaxy stands out as the most important nearby stellar island to our Milky Way: the magnificent Andromeda galaxy (Messier 31). You can see it with the unaided eye from a dark sky on a clear autumn night. It looks like a faint cigar-shaped object roughly the apparent angular diameter of our moon.
A century ago, Edwin Hubble first established that this so-called “spiral nebula” was actually far outside our own Milky Way galaxy, at a distance of approximately 2.5 million light-years, or roughly 25 Milky Way diameters. Prior to that, astronomers had long thought that the Milky Way encompassed the entire universe. Overnight, Hubble’s discovery turned cosmology upside down by unveiling an infinitely grander universe.
Now, a century later, the space telescope named for Hubble has accomplished the most comprehensive survey of this enticing empire of stars. The Hubble telescope is yielding new clues to the evolutionary history of Andromeda, and it looks markedly different from the Milky Way’s history.
Without Andromeda as a proxy for spiral galaxies in the universe at large, astronomers would know much less about the structure and evolution of our own Milky Way. That’s because we are embedded inside the Milky Way.
Hubble’s sharp imaging capabilities can resolve more than 200 million stars in the Andromeda galaxy, detecting only stars brighter than our sun. They look like grains of sand across the beach. But that’s just the tip of the iceberg. Astronomers estimate Andromeda’s total population at around 1 trillion stars, with many less massive stars falling below Hubble’s sensitivity limit.
Photographing Andromeda was a Herculean task because the galaxy is a much bigger target on the sky than the galaxies Hubble routinely observes, which are often billions of light-years away. The full mosaic was carried out under two Hubble observing programs. In total it required over 1,000 Hubble orbits, spanning more than a decade.
This panorama started with the Panchromatic Hubble Andromeda Treasury (PHAT) program about a decade ago. It included images in near-ultraviolet, visible and near-infrared wavelengths. Scientists used the Advanced Camera for Surveys and the Wide Field Camera aboard Hubble to photograph the northern half of Andromeda.
Following this was the Panchromatic Hubble Andromeda Southern Treasury (PHAST). It added images of approximately 100 million stars in the southern half of Andromeda. This region is structurally unique and more sensitive to the galaxy’s merger history than the northern disk mapped by the PHAT survey.
The combined programs collectively cover the entire disk of Andromeda. Andromeda tilts by 77 degrees relative to Earth’s view. The galaxy is so large that the mosaic used approximately 600 separate fields of view. The mosaic image consists of at least 2.5 billion pixels.
Hubble traces hidden history of the Andromeda galaxy
The complementary Hubble survey programs provide information about the age, heavy-element abundance and stellar masses inside Andromeda. This will allow astronomers to distinguish between competing scenarios where Andromeda merged with one or more galaxies. Hubble’s detailed measurements constrain models of Andromeda’s merger history and disk evolution.
Though the Milky Way and Andromeda formed presumably around the same time many billions of years ago, observational evidence shows they have very different evolutionary histories, despite growing up in the same cosmological neighborhood. Andromeda seems to be more highly populated with younger stars and unusual features like coherent streams of stars, say researchers. This implies it has a more active recent star-formation and interaction history than the Milky Way.
A possible culprit is the compact satellite galaxy Messier 32, which resembles the stripped-down core of a once-spiral galaxy that may have interacted with Andromeda in the past. Computer simulations suggest that when a close encounter with another galaxy uses up all the available interstellar gas, star formation subsides.
Bottom line: Astronomers have created the largest photomosaic of the Andromeda galaxy yet using Hubble data.
Watch the dust shells of Wolf-Rayet 140 fade between 2022 and 2023. NASA’s Webb Space Telescope has taken incredible new images of the binary star’s dusty rings. Video via Joseph DePasquale/ Space Telescope Science Institute/ NASA/ ESA/ CSA.
Wolf-Rayet 140 is a binary star system 5,000 light-years away. NASA’s Webb space telescope has taken stunning new images of enormous dust rings around the two stars.
The slightly square-shaped concentric rings resemble tree rings and are rich in carbon dust. The rings are expanding outward from the stars at about 1% the speed of light.
The spraying of carbon dust from stars like Wolf-Rayet 140 may help explain where the carbon in the universe comes from.
Binary star’s dusty rings shine in new Webb images
NASA’s Webb Space Telescope has taken some jaw-dropping images of a pair of massive stars known together as Wolf-Rayet 140. Wolf-Rayet 140 is about 5,000 light-years away. But it’s not the stars themselves that stand out, it’s the huge concentric rings – or shells – of dust expanding away from the stars. These shells look like “cosmic tree rings.” NASA said on January 13, 2025, that Webb observed 17 of the irregularly shaped shells. When stellar winds from the two stars collide, they produce the carbon-rich rings of dust. That dust may help to eventually create new stars and planets.
The researchers published the new peer-reviewed results in The Astrophysical Journal Letters on January 13, 2025. They also presented their findings at the 245th meeting of the American Astronomical Society (AAS) in National Harbor, Maryland.
Webb observed the stars and the dust rings in infrared light. Both stars have elongated orbits, and they swing past each other every eight years. When they do so, their stellar winds collide. This produces the irregular but evenly spaced rings of dust. In infrared, the rings look slightly squarish, emanating outward from the stars. They even look like they could be artificial constructions, but in fact are just composed of carbon-rich dust. Are they even real?
Emma Lieb is the lead author of the new paper at the University of Denver in Colorado. She said:
The telescope not only confirmed that these dust shells are real, its data also showed that the dust shells are moving outward at consistent velocities, revealing visible changes over incredibly short periods of time.
Those changes are the result of the rings quickly expanding outward from the two stars. In fact, they are moving at about 1,600 miles per second (2,600 km per second), which is almost 1% the speed of light. Co-author Jennifer Hoffman at the University of Denver added:
In this system, the observatory is showing that the dust shells are expanding from one year to the next.
Each time the stars pass by each other and generate more dust, the dust can persist for several months. The rings we see now aren’t all of them, either. Some have already dissipated. And astronomers expect that thousands more will form in the future: tens of thousands over hundreds of thousands of years. The rings that Webb captured in the new images are estimated to have lasted for about 130 years.
Revealing the rings in mid-infrared light
Webb observes the universe in infrared light rather than visible light like our human eyes see. This helps it detect things that would otherwise go unseen. The rings are a great example of this. The dust in the rings is cool in temperature, so it appears more easily in mid-infrared. Co-author Ryan Lau at NSF NOIRLab in Tucson, Arizona, explained:
Mid-infrared observations are absolutely crucial for this analysis, since the dust in this system is fairly cool. Near-infrared and visible light would only show the shells that are closest to the star. With these incredible new details, the telescope is also allowing us to study exactly when the stars are forming dust, almost to the day.
The rings appear remarkably concentric and evenly spaced, although the dust isn’t completely uniform. Some of the dust piles up into delicate, amorphous clouds. And those clouds are big, some of them as large as our entire solar system. On the other hand, the dust grains themselves are extremely tiny, as small as 1/100 of a human hair. A staggering difference in scale!
Animation of the 2 binary stars in the Wolf-Rayet 140 system. When the stars swing past one another, their winds collide, material compresses, and carbon-rich dust forms. The stars create dust for several months in every 8-year orbit. Video via NASA/ ESA/ CSA/ Joseph Olmsted (STScI)/ Webb Space Telescope.
New stars and planets
The carbon these stars are spraying out can later help to form new stars and planets. But it also depends on how the stars eventually die. The Wolf-Rayet star in the binary system is about 10 times more massive than the sun. But scientists don’t know yet how its life will end. It will either explode as a supernova or collapse into a black hole.
If it explodes, it could rip apart the dust rings. But the rings would likely survive if it turned into a black hole. In that scenario, the dust could then eventually help form new stars and planets. Scientists think this is where much of the carbon in the universe comes from. As Lau noted:
A major question in astronomy is, where does all the dust in the universe come from? If carbon-rich dust like this survives, it could help us begin to answer that question.
Hoffman added:
We know carbon is necessary for the formation of rocky planets and solar systems like ours. It’s exciting to get a glimpse into how binary star systems not only create carbon-rich dust, but also propel it into our galactic neighborhood.
And carbon, of course, is essential for life, at least life as we know it.
Bottom line: NASA’s Webb Space Telescope has taken stunning new images of a binary star’s dusty rings. The rings of Wolf-Rayet 140 are expanding at 1% the speed of light.
Watch the dust shells of Wolf-Rayet 140 fade between 2022 and 2023. NASA’s Webb Space Telescope has taken incredible new images of the binary star’s dusty rings. Video via Joseph DePasquale/ Space Telescope Science Institute/ NASA/ ESA/ CSA.
Wolf-Rayet 140 is a binary star system 5,000 light-years away. NASA’s Webb space telescope has taken stunning new images of enormous dust rings around the two stars.
The slightly square-shaped concentric rings resemble tree rings and are rich in carbon dust. The rings are expanding outward from the stars at about 1% the speed of light.
The spraying of carbon dust from stars like Wolf-Rayet 140 may help explain where the carbon in the universe comes from.
Binary star’s dusty rings shine in new Webb images
NASA’s Webb Space Telescope has taken some jaw-dropping images of a pair of massive stars known together as Wolf-Rayet 140. Wolf-Rayet 140 is about 5,000 light-years away. But it’s not the stars themselves that stand out, it’s the huge concentric rings – or shells – of dust expanding away from the stars. These shells look like “cosmic tree rings.” NASA said on January 13, 2025, that Webb observed 17 of the irregularly shaped shells. When stellar winds from the two stars collide, they produce the carbon-rich rings of dust. That dust may help to eventually create new stars and planets.
The researchers published the new peer-reviewed results in The Astrophysical Journal Letters on January 13, 2025. They also presented their findings at the 245th meeting of the American Astronomical Society (AAS) in National Harbor, Maryland.
Webb observed the stars and the dust rings in infrared light. Both stars have elongated orbits, and they swing past each other every eight years. When they do so, their stellar winds collide. This produces the irregular but evenly spaced rings of dust. In infrared, the rings look slightly squarish, emanating outward from the stars. They even look like they could be artificial constructions, but in fact are just composed of carbon-rich dust. Are they even real?
Emma Lieb is the lead author of the new paper at the University of Denver in Colorado. She said:
The telescope not only confirmed that these dust shells are real, its data also showed that the dust shells are moving outward at consistent velocities, revealing visible changes over incredibly short periods of time.
Those changes are the result of the rings quickly expanding outward from the two stars. In fact, they are moving at about 1,600 miles per second (2,600 km per second), which is almost 1% the speed of light. Co-author Jennifer Hoffman at the University of Denver added:
In this system, the observatory is showing that the dust shells are expanding from one year to the next.
Each time the stars pass by each other and generate more dust, the dust can persist for several months. The rings we see now aren’t all of them, either. Some have already dissipated. And astronomers expect that thousands more will form in the future: tens of thousands over hundreds of thousands of years. The rings that Webb captured in the new images are estimated to have lasted for about 130 years.
Revealing the rings in mid-infrared light
Webb observes the universe in infrared light rather than visible light like our human eyes see. This helps it detect things that would otherwise go unseen. The rings are a great example of this. The dust in the rings is cool in temperature, so it appears more easily in mid-infrared. Co-author Ryan Lau at NSF NOIRLab in Tucson, Arizona, explained:
Mid-infrared observations are absolutely crucial for this analysis, since the dust in this system is fairly cool. Near-infrared and visible light would only show the shells that are closest to the star. With these incredible new details, the telescope is also allowing us to study exactly when the stars are forming dust, almost to the day.
The rings appear remarkably concentric and evenly spaced, although the dust isn’t completely uniform. Some of the dust piles up into delicate, amorphous clouds. And those clouds are big, some of them as large as our entire solar system. On the other hand, the dust grains themselves are extremely tiny, as small as 1/100 of a human hair. A staggering difference in scale!
Animation of the 2 binary stars in the Wolf-Rayet 140 system. When the stars swing past one another, their winds collide, material compresses, and carbon-rich dust forms. The stars create dust for several months in every 8-year orbit. Video via NASA/ ESA/ CSA/ Joseph Olmsted (STScI)/ Webb Space Telescope.
New stars and planets
The carbon these stars are spraying out can later help to form new stars and planets. But it also depends on how the stars eventually die. The Wolf-Rayet star in the binary system is about 10 times more massive than the sun. But scientists don’t know yet how its life will end. It will either explode as a supernova or collapse into a black hole.
If it explodes, it could rip apart the dust rings. But the rings would likely survive if it turned into a black hole. In that scenario, the dust could then eventually help form new stars and planets. Scientists think this is where much of the carbon in the universe comes from. As Lau noted:
A major question in astronomy is, where does all the dust in the universe come from? If carbon-rich dust like this survives, it could help us begin to answer that question.
Hoffman added:
We know carbon is necessary for the formation of rocky planets and solar systems like ours. It’s exciting to get a glimpse into how binary star systems not only create carbon-rich dust, but also propel it into our galactic neighborhood.
And carbon, of course, is essential for life, at least life as we know it.
Bottom line: NASA’s Webb Space Telescope has taken stunning new images of a binary star’s dusty rings. The rings of Wolf-Rayet 140 are expanding at 1% the speed of light.
A survey of 1,055 scientists, including 521 astrobiologists, found that 86.6% believe basic extraterrestrial life likely exists. Agreement among non-astrobiologists was similar.
Scientists cite the abundance of habitable environments in the universe and the non-zero probability of life arising as indirect evidence supporting these beliefs.
It seems like a strong consensus, but why isn’t it even higher? There might be life on moons in our solar system, and there are 100 billion planets in just our galaxy. But there’s still no concrete evidence for life outside Earth.
News stories about the likely existence of extraterrestrial life, and our chances of detecting it, tend to be positive. We are often told that we might discover it any time now. Finding life beyond Earth is only a matter of time, we were told in September 2023. We are close was a headline from September 2024.
It’s easy to see why. Headlines such as “We’re probably not close” or “Nobody knows” aren’t very clickable. But what does the relevant community of experts actually think when considered as a whole? Are optimistic predictions common or rare? Is there even a consensus? In our new paper, published in Nature Astronomy, we’ve found out.
During February to June 2024, we carried out four surveys regarding the likely existence of basic, complex and intelligent extraterrestrial life. We sent emails to astrobiologists (scientists who study extraterrestrial life), as well as to scientists in other areas, including biologists and physicists.
In total, 521 astrobiologists responded, and we received 534 non-astrobiologist responses. The results reveal that 86.6% of the surveyed astrobiologists responded either “agree” or “strongly agree” that it’s likely that extraterrestrial life (of at least a basic kind) exists somewhere in the universe.
Less than 2% disagreed, with 12% staying neutral. So, based on this, we might say that there’s a solid consensus that extraterrestrial life, of some form, exists somewhere out there.
Even non-astrobiologists think ET might be out there
Scientists who weren’t astrobiologists essentially concurred, with an overall agreement score of 88.4%. In other words, one cannot say that astrobiologists are biased toward believing in extraterrestrial life, compared with other scientists.
When we turn to “complex” extraterrestrial life or “intelligent” aliens, our results were 67.4% agreement, and 58.2% agreement, respectively for astrobiologists and other scientists. So, scientists tend to think that alien life exists, even in more advanced forms.
These results are made even more significant by the fact that disagreement for all categories was low. For example, only 10.2% of astrobiologists disagreed with the claim that intelligent aliens likely exist.
Are they guessing about the reality of aliens?
Are scientists merely speculating? Usually, we should only take notice of a scientific consensus when it is based on evidence (and lots of it). As there is no proper evidence, scientists may be guessing. However, scientists did have the option of voting “neutral”, an option that was chosen by some scientists who felt that they would be speculating.
Only 12% chose this option. There is actually a lot of “indirect” or “theoretical” evidence that alien life exists. For example, we do now know that habitable environments are very common in the universe.
We have several in our own solar system, including the subsurface oceans of the moons Europa and Enceladus, and arguably also the environment a few kilometers below the surface of Mars. It also seems relevant that Mars used to be highly habitable, with lakes and rivers of liquid water on its surface and a substantial atmosphere.
It is reasonable to generalize from here to a truly gargantuan number of habitable environments across the galaxy and wider universe. We also know (since we’re here) that life can get started from non-life. It happened on Earth, after all. Although the origin of the first, simple forms of life is poorly understood, there is no compelling reason to think that it requires astronomically rare conditions. And even if it does, the probability of life getting started (abiogenesis) is clearly non-zero.
This can help us to see the 86.6% agreement in a new light. Perhaps it is not, actually, a surprisingly strong consensus. Perhaps it is a surprisingly weak consensus. Consider the numbers: there are more than 100 billion galaxies.
We know that habitable environments are everywhere
Let’s say there are 100 billion billion habitable worlds (planets or moons) in the universe. Suppose we are such pessimists that we think life’s chances of getting started on any given habitable world is one in a billion billion. In that case, we would still answer “agree” to the statement that it is likely that alien life exists in the universe.
Thus, optimists and pessimists should all have answered “agree” or “strongly agree” to our survey, with only the most radical pessimists about the origin of life disagreeing.
Bearing this in mind, we could present our data another way. Suppose we discount the 60 neutral votes we received. Perhaps these scientists felt that they would be speculating, and didn’t want to take a stance. In which case, it makes sense to ignore their votes. This leaves 461 votes in total, of which 451 were for agree or strongly agree. Now, we have an overall agreement percentage of 97.8%.
This move is not as illegitimate as it looks. Scientists know that if they choose “neutral” they can’t possibly be wrong. Thus, this is the “safe” choice. In research, it is often called satisficing.
As the geophysicist Edward Bullard wrote back in 1975 while debating whether all continents were once joined together, instead of making a choice “it is more prudent to keep quiet … sit on the fence, and wait in statesmanlike ambiguity for more data.” Not only is keeping quiet a safe choice for scientists, it means the scientist doesn’t need to think too hard. It is the easy choice.
Getting the balance right
What we probably want is balance. On one side, we have the lack of direct empirical evidence and the reluctance of responsible scientists to speculate. On the other side, we have evidence of other kinds, including the truly gargantuan number of habitable environments in the universe.
We know that the probability of life getting started is non-zero. Perhaps 86.6% agreement, with 12% neutral and less than 2% disagreement, is a sensible compromise, all things considered.
Perhaps – given the problem of satisficing – whenever we present such results, we should present two results for overall agreement: one with neutral votes included (86.6%), and one with neutral votes disregarded (97.8%). Neither result is the single, correct result.
Each perspective speaks to different analytical needs and helps prevent oversimplification of the data. Ultimately, reporting both numbers – and being transparent about their contexts – is the most honest way to represent the true complexity of responses.
Bottom line: Aliens probably exist according to a survey of more than 1,000 scientists. Nearly 87% of them believe extraterrestrial life exists elsewhere in the universe. The real number of believers, however, could be much greater.
A survey of 1,055 scientists, including 521 astrobiologists, found that 86.6% believe basic extraterrestrial life likely exists. Agreement among non-astrobiologists was similar.
Scientists cite the abundance of habitable environments in the universe and the non-zero probability of life arising as indirect evidence supporting these beliefs.
It seems like a strong consensus, but why isn’t it even higher? There might be life on moons in our solar system, and there are 100 billion planets in just our galaxy. But there’s still no concrete evidence for life outside Earth.
News stories about the likely existence of extraterrestrial life, and our chances of detecting it, tend to be positive. We are often told that we might discover it any time now. Finding life beyond Earth is only a matter of time, we were told in September 2023. We are close was a headline from September 2024.
It’s easy to see why. Headlines such as “We’re probably not close” or “Nobody knows” aren’t very clickable. But what does the relevant community of experts actually think when considered as a whole? Are optimistic predictions common or rare? Is there even a consensus? In our new paper, published in Nature Astronomy, we’ve found out.
During February to June 2024, we carried out four surveys regarding the likely existence of basic, complex and intelligent extraterrestrial life. We sent emails to astrobiologists (scientists who study extraterrestrial life), as well as to scientists in other areas, including biologists and physicists.
In total, 521 astrobiologists responded, and we received 534 non-astrobiologist responses. The results reveal that 86.6% of the surveyed astrobiologists responded either “agree” or “strongly agree” that it’s likely that extraterrestrial life (of at least a basic kind) exists somewhere in the universe.
Less than 2% disagreed, with 12% staying neutral. So, based on this, we might say that there’s a solid consensus that extraterrestrial life, of some form, exists somewhere out there.
Even non-astrobiologists think ET might be out there
Scientists who weren’t astrobiologists essentially concurred, with an overall agreement score of 88.4%. In other words, one cannot say that astrobiologists are biased toward believing in extraterrestrial life, compared with other scientists.
When we turn to “complex” extraterrestrial life or “intelligent” aliens, our results were 67.4% agreement, and 58.2% agreement, respectively for astrobiologists and other scientists. So, scientists tend to think that alien life exists, even in more advanced forms.
These results are made even more significant by the fact that disagreement for all categories was low. For example, only 10.2% of astrobiologists disagreed with the claim that intelligent aliens likely exist.
Are they guessing about the reality of aliens?
Are scientists merely speculating? Usually, we should only take notice of a scientific consensus when it is based on evidence (and lots of it). As there is no proper evidence, scientists may be guessing. However, scientists did have the option of voting “neutral”, an option that was chosen by some scientists who felt that they would be speculating.
Only 12% chose this option. There is actually a lot of “indirect” or “theoretical” evidence that alien life exists. For example, we do now know that habitable environments are very common in the universe.
We have several in our own solar system, including the subsurface oceans of the moons Europa and Enceladus, and arguably also the environment a few kilometers below the surface of Mars. It also seems relevant that Mars used to be highly habitable, with lakes and rivers of liquid water on its surface and a substantial atmosphere.
It is reasonable to generalize from here to a truly gargantuan number of habitable environments across the galaxy and wider universe. We also know (since we’re here) that life can get started from non-life. It happened on Earth, after all. Although the origin of the first, simple forms of life is poorly understood, there is no compelling reason to think that it requires astronomically rare conditions. And even if it does, the probability of life getting started (abiogenesis) is clearly non-zero.
This can help us to see the 86.6% agreement in a new light. Perhaps it is not, actually, a surprisingly strong consensus. Perhaps it is a surprisingly weak consensus. Consider the numbers: there are more than 100 billion galaxies.
We know that habitable environments are everywhere
Let’s say there are 100 billion billion habitable worlds (planets or moons) in the universe. Suppose we are such pessimists that we think life’s chances of getting started on any given habitable world is one in a billion billion. In that case, we would still answer “agree” to the statement that it is likely that alien life exists in the universe.
Thus, optimists and pessimists should all have answered “agree” or “strongly agree” to our survey, with only the most radical pessimists about the origin of life disagreeing.
Bearing this in mind, we could present our data another way. Suppose we discount the 60 neutral votes we received. Perhaps these scientists felt that they would be speculating, and didn’t want to take a stance. In which case, it makes sense to ignore their votes. This leaves 461 votes in total, of which 451 were for agree or strongly agree. Now, we have an overall agreement percentage of 97.8%.
This move is not as illegitimate as it looks. Scientists know that if they choose “neutral” they can’t possibly be wrong. Thus, this is the “safe” choice. In research, it is often called satisficing.
As the geophysicist Edward Bullard wrote back in 1975 while debating whether all continents were once joined together, instead of making a choice “it is more prudent to keep quiet … sit on the fence, and wait in statesmanlike ambiguity for more data.” Not only is keeping quiet a safe choice for scientists, it means the scientist doesn’t need to think too hard. It is the easy choice.
Getting the balance right
What we probably want is balance. On one side, we have the lack of direct empirical evidence and the reluctance of responsible scientists to speculate. On the other side, we have evidence of other kinds, including the truly gargantuan number of habitable environments in the universe.
We know that the probability of life getting started is non-zero. Perhaps 86.6% agreement, with 12% neutral and less than 2% disagreement, is a sensible compromise, all things considered.
Perhaps – given the problem of satisficing – whenever we present such results, we should present two results for overall agreement: one with neutral votes included (86.6%), and one with neutral votes disregarded (97.8%). Neither result is the single, correct result.
Each perspective speaks to different analytical needs and helps prevent oversimplification of the data. Ultimately, reporting both numbers – and being transparent about their contexts – is the most honest way to represent the true complexity of responses.
Bottom line: Aliens probably exist according to a survey of more than 1,000 scientists. Nearly 87% of them believe extraterrestrial life exists elsewhere in the universe. The real number of believers, however, could be much greater.
EarthSky founder Deborah Byrd wants you to come to know the constellation Orion the Hunter. It’s one of the most famous constellations because it’s easy to identify, with several noticeably bright and interesting stars. Plus, Orion can help you visualize your place in the Milky Way galaxy. What’s not to like? Click here for the video. Prefer to read? See below!
Tonight look for the constellation Orion the Hunter. It’s a constant companion on winter evenings in the Northern Hemisphere, and on summer nights in the Southern Hemisphere. Plus, it’s probably the easiest constellation to spot thanks to its distinctive Belt. Orion’s Belt consists of three medium-bright stars in a short, straight row at the Hunter’s waistline. So if you see any three equally bright stars in a row this evening, you’re probably looking at Orion. Do you want to be sure? There are two even brighter stars – one reddish and the other blue – on either side of the Belt stars.
As seen from mid-northern latitudes, you’ll find Orion in the southeast in the January early evening and shining high in the south by mid-to-late evening (around 9 to 10 p.m. local time, the time on your clock wherever you live). If you live at temperate latitudes south of the equator, you’ll see Orion high in your northern sky around that same hour.
What to look for in Orion the Hunter
First, look for the two brightest stars in Orion: Betelgeuse and Rigel. Rigel’s distance is approximately 860 light-years. However, the distance to Betelgeuse has been harder for scientists to determine. Its current estimate is about 700 light-years away, but uncertainties remain.
Next, take a moment to trace the Belt of Orion and the Sword that hangs from his belt. If one of the stars in the Sword looks blurry to you, that’s because you’re actually seeing the Orion Nebula. And if you use binoculars or a telescope to look at the Orion Nebula, you’ll start to see some shape in the gas and dust cloud.
Connections between the stars
While the stars of constellations often look like they should be physically related and gravitationally bound, they usually are not.
However, some of Orion’s most famous stars do have a connection. Several of the brightest stars in Orion are members of our local spiral arm, sometimes called the Orion Arm or sometimes the Orion Spur of the Milky Way. Our local spiral arm lies between the Sagittarius and Perseus Arms of the Milky Way.
Now consider those three prominent Belt stars. They appear fainter than Rigel or Betelgeuse, and, not surprisingly, they’re farther away. As a matter of fact, they’re all giant stars located in the Orion Arm. These stars’ names and approximate distances are Mintaka (1,200 light-years), Alnilam (2,000 light-years), and Alnitak (1,260 light-years). When you look at these three stars, know that you’re looking across vast space, and into our local arm of the Milky Way galaxy.
Bottom line: Orion the Hunter is one of the easiest constellations to identify thanks to Orion’s Belt, the three medium-bright stars in a short, straight row at his waist.
EarthSky founder Deborah Byrd wants you to come to know the constellation Orion the Hunter. It’s one of the most famous constellations because it’s easy to identify, with several noticeably bright and interesting stars. Plus, Orion can help you visualize your place in the Milky Way galaxy. What’s not to like? Click here for the video. Prefer to read? See below!
Tonight look for the constellation Orion the Hunter. It’s a constant companion on winter evenings in the Northern Hemisphere, and on summer nights in the Southern Hemisphere. Plus, it’s probably the easiest constellation to spot thanks to its distinctive Belt. Orion’s Belt consists of three medium-bright stars in a short, straight row at the Hunter’s waistline. So if you see any three equally bright stars in a row this evening, you’re probably looking at Orion. Do you want to be sure? There are two even brighter stars – one reddish and the other blue – on either side of the Belt stars.
As seen from mid-northern latitudes, you’ll find Orion in the southeast in the January early evening and shining high in the south by mid-to-late evening (around 9 to 10 p.m. local time, the time on your clock wherever you live). If you live at temperate latitudes south of the equator, you’ll see Orion high in your northern sky around that same hour.
What to look for in Orion the Hunter
First, look for the two brightest stars in Orion: Betelgeuse and Rigel. Rigel’s distance is approximately 860 light-years. However, the distance to Betelgeuse has been harder for scientists to determine. Its current estimate is about 700 light-years away, but uncertainties remain.
Next, take a moment to trace the Belt of Orion and the Sword that hangs from his belt. If one of the stars in the Sword looks blurry to you, that’s because you’re actually seeing the Orion Nebula. And if you use binoculars or a telescope to look at the Orion Nebula, you’ll start to see some shape in the gas and dust cloud.
Connections between the stars
While the stars of constellations often look like they should be physically related and gravitationally bound, they usually are not.
However, some of Orion’s most famous stars do have a connection. Several of the brightest stars in Orion are members of our local spiral arm, sometimes called the Orion Arm or sometimes the Orion Spur of the Milky Way. Our local spiral arm lies between the Sagittarius and Perseus Arms of the Milky Way.
Now consider those three prominent Belt stars. They appear fainter than Rigel or Betelgeuse, and, not surprisingly, they’re farther away. As a matter of fact, they’re all giant stars located in the Orion Arm. These stars’ names and approximate distances are Mintaka (1,200 light-years), Alnilam (2,000 light-years), and Alnitak (1,260 light-years). When you look at these three stars, know that you’re looking across vast space, and into our local arm of the Milky Way galaxy.
Bottom line: Orion the Hunter is one of the easiest constellations to identify thanks to Orion’s Belt, the three medium-bright stars in a short, straight row at his waist.
Tonight, look for the northern sky’s two most prominent sky patterns – the constellation Cassiopeia the Queen and the Big Dipper. Cassiopeia and the Big Dipper circle around Polaris, the North Star, once a day, every day. What’s more, they are opposite each other, one on either side of the North Star.
At nightfall, the constellation Cassiopeia the Queen is easy to recognize in the northern sky. This constellation looks like a W or M and contains five moderately bright stars. Plus, the distinctive shape of Cassiopeia makes it very noticeable among the stars of the northern sky.
The Big Dipper
And, of course, Ursa Major the Greater Bear – which contains the Big Dipper asterism – is one of the most famous star patterns. At nightfall this month, Cassiopeia shines high in the north while the Dipper lurks low. In fact, they are always on opposite sides of the North Star. From the southern half of the U.S., the Big Dipper is partly or totally beneath the horizon this month in the evening hours. North of about 40 degrees north latitude (the latitude of Denver, Colorado, and Beijing, China), the Big Dipper always stays above the horizon (if your horizon is level). To see a precise view from your location, try Stellarium Online.
They circle around Polaris all night
But remember, their positions change as the night passes, as the great carousel of stars wheels westward (counterclockwise) around Polaris, the North Star. You’ll notice Polaris resides halfway between Cassiopeia and the Big Dipper. As a result, they are like riders on opposite sides of a Ferris wheel. Thus, looking northward, they rotate counterclockwise around Polaris – the star that marks the sky’s north celestial pole – once a day. Then approximately every 12 hours, as Earth spins beneath the heavens, Cassiopeia and the Big Dipper trade places in the sky.
Thus, around midnight tonight, Cassiopeia circles directly west (left) of Polaris, whereas the Big Dipper sweeps to Polaris’ east (right). And then, before dawn tomorrow the Big Dipper climbs right above the North Star, while Cassiopeia swings directly below.
Bottom line: Watch the celestial clock and its two great big hour hands – Cassiopeia and the Big Dipper – as they swing around the North Star each and every night!
Tonight, look for the northern sky’s two most prominent sky patterns – the constellation Cassiopeia the Queen and the Big Dipper. Cassiopeia and the Big Dipper circle around Polaris, the North Star, once a day, every day. What’s more, they are opposite each other, one on either side of the North Star.
At nightfall, the constellation Cassiopeia the Queen is easy to recognize in the northern sky. This constellation looks like a W or M and contains five moderately bright stars. Plus, the distinctive shape of Cassiopeia makes it very noticeable among the stars of the northern sky.
The Big Dipper
And, of course, Ursa Major the Greater Bear – which contains the Big Dipper asterism – is one of the most famous star patterns. At nightfall this month, Cassiopeia shines high in the north while the Dipper lurks low. In fact, they are always on opposite sides of the North Star. From the southern half of the U.S., the Big Dipper is partly or totally beneath the horizon this month in the evening hours. North of about 40 degrees north latitude (the latitude of Denver, Colorado, and Beijing, China), the Big Dipper always stays above the horizon (if your horizon is level). To see a precise view from your location, try Stellarium Online.
They circle around Polaris all night
But remember, their positions change as the night passes, as the great carousel of stars wheels westward (counterclockwise) around Polaris, the North Star. You’ll notice Polaris resides halfway between Cassiopeia and the Big Dipper. As a result, they are like riders on opposite sides of a Ferris wheel. Thus, looking northward, they rotate counterclockwise around Polaris – the star that marks the sky’s north celestial pole – once a day. Then approximately every 12 hours, as Earth spins beneath the heavens, Cassiopeia and the Big Dipper trade places in the sky.
Thus, around midnight tonight, Cassiopeia circles directly west (left) of Polaris, whereas the Big Dipper sweeps to Polaris’ east (right). And then, before dawn tomorrow the Big Dipper climbs right above the North Star, while Cassiopeia swings directly below.
Bottom line: Watch the celestial clock and its two great big hour hands – Cassiopeia and the Big Dipper – as they swing around the North Star each and every night!
A few days ago, in a sea far, far away . . . A team of scientists discovered a new species of giant sea bug off the coast of Vietnam. The team of researchers, from Singapore, Indonesia and Vietnam, announced the discovery on January 14, 2025. The newly discovered species is a type of giant isopod. This crustacean is 12.8 inches (32.5 cm) long. But it’s not just the size that’s impressive. Its head closely resembles the iconic helmet of Darth Vader, the most famous Sith Lord from the Star Wars franchise. Hence its name, Bathynomus vaderi.
The researchers published their peer-reviewed study on January 14, 2025, in the open-access journal ZooKeys.
Discovery of the new species of giant sea bug
Giant isopods can reach more than 11.8 inches (30 cm) in length and weigh more than a kilogram. Impressive! So, you might wonder how such a large creature has not been discovered until now.
The curious thing is that Vietnamese fishermen have been fishing and consuming giant isopods for a long time. In fact, until 2017, they were sold as a bycatch product, at low prices. However, in recent years, the media has drawn public attention to this unusual creature. Some people even claim this crustacean is tastier than lobster.
In March 2022, staff at the University of Hanoi, the capital of Vietnam, purchased four giant isopod individuals and sent two of them to Peter Ng of the Lee Kong Chian Natural History Museum in Singapore for identification.
Peter Ng runs a crustacean laboratory in Singapore and has worked on deep-sea fauna from many parts of Asia. He recruited Conni M. Sidabalok of Indonesia’s National Agency for Research and Innovation. Then, Nguyen Thanh Son of Vietnam National University, a resident crustacean researcher there, joined the team.
The Dark Side of the ocean
In early 2023, the researchers realized they had specimens of a previously undescribed species of the Bathynomus genus. They have finally named the new creature Bathynomus vaderi, in honor of Darth Vader.
There are about 10,000 species of isopods in the world. The genus Bathynomus comprises about 20 species. They can typically be found in the cold, deep waters of the Atlantic, Pacific and Indian Oceans.
In the case of the newly discovered species Bathynomus vaderi, it has only been found near the Spratly Islands in Vietnam. But further research is likely to confirm its presence in other parts of the South China Sea.
The discovery of a species as strange as Bathynomus vaderi in Vietnam highlights just how poorly we understand the deep-sea environment. That a species as large as this could have stayed hidden for so long reminds us just how much work we still need to do to find out what lives in Southeast Asian waters.
Bottom line: Are you a fan of Star Wars? If Darth Vader is your favorite character, you will love this news! A recently discovered species of giant sea bug received was named for this iconic character. Find out why here.
A few days ago, in a sea far, far away . . . A team of scientists discovered a new species of giant sea bug off the coast of Vietnam. The team of researchers, from Singapore, Indonesia and Vietnam, announced the discovery on January 14, 2025. The newly discovered species is a type of giant isopod. This crustacean is 12.8 inches (32.5 cm) long. But it’s not just the size that’s impressive. Its head closely resembles the iconic helmet of Darth Vader, the most famous Sith Lord from the Star Wars franchise. Hence its name, Bathynomus vaderi.
The researchers published their peer-reviewed study on January 14, 2025, in the open-access journal ZooKeys.
Discovery of the new species of giant sea bug
Giant isopods can reach more than 11.8 inches (30 cm) in length and weigh more than a kilogram. Impressive! So, you might wonder how such a large creature has not been discovered until now.
The curious thing is that Vietnamese fishermen have been fishing and consuming giant isopods for a long time. In fact, until 2017, they were sold as a bycatch product, at low prices. However, in recent years, the media has drawn public attention to this unusual creature. Some people even claim this crustacean is tastier than lobster.
In March 2022, staff at the University of Hanoi, the capital of Vietnam, purchased four giant isopod individuals and sent two of them to Peter Ng of the Lee Kong Chian Natural History Museum in Singapore for identification.
Peter Ng runs a crustacean laboratory in Singapore and has worked on deep-sea fauna from many parts of Asia. He recruited Conni M. Sidabalok of Indonesia’s National Agency for Research and Innovation. Then, Nguyen Thanh Son of Vietnam National University, a resident crustacean researcher there, joined the team.
The Dark Side of the ocean
In early 2023, the researchers realized they had specimens of a previously undescribed species of the Bathynomus genus. They have finally named the new creature Bathynomus vaderi, in honor of Darth Vader.
There are about 10,000 species of isopods in the world. The genus Bathynomus comprises about 20 species. They can typically be found in the cold, deep waters of the Atlantic, Pacific and Indian Oceans.
In the case of the newly discovered species Bathynomus vaderi, it has only been found near the Spratly Islands in Vietnam. But further research is likely to confirm its presence in other parts of the South China Sea.
The discovery of a species as strange as Bathynomus vaderi in Vietnam highlights just how poorly we understand the deep-sea environment. That a species as large as this could have stayed hidden for so long reminds us just how much work we still need to do to find out what lives in Southeast Asian waters.
Bottom line: Are you a fan of Star Wars? If Darth Vader is your favorite character, you will love this news! A recently discovered species of giant sea bug received was named for this iconic character. Find out why here.