aads

Winter begins in Wisconsin

Phil Koch posted this photo to EarthSky Facebook this week. He calls it 'Horizons.'

Phil Koch posted this photo to EarthSky Facebook this week. He calls it ‘Horizons.’

A record snowfall fell in Wisconsin over this past week. Phil Koch of Milwaukee captured an image and wrote to EarthSky:

And so winter begins in Wisconsin.

Thank you, Phil!



from EarthSky http://ift.tt/1OuDWpI
Phil Koch posted this photo to EarthSky Facebook this week. He calls it 'Horizons.'

Phil Koch posted this photo to EarthSky Facebook this week. He calls it ‘Horizons.’

A record snowfall fell in Wisconsin over this past week. Phil Koch of Milwaukee captured an image and wrote to EarthSky:

And so winter begins in Wisconsin.

Thank you, Phil!



from EarthSky http://ift.tt/1OuDWpI

Mouth cancer: dentists and GPs should be able to refer patients straight for tests

WS Shaw + dental patient-620
WS Shaw + dental patient-620

To help GPs and dentists diagnose patients faster, we recently launched our new Oral Cancer Toolkit in partnership with the British Dental Association and the Royal College of General Practitioners. Here, Professor Richard Shaw, a mouth cancer specialist who helped create it, explains why the toolkit recommends a departure from the recently published NICE referral guidelines.

If we want to improve the UK’s survival rates, early diagnosis matters. Indeed, the recent debate over future NHS cancer policy has focused heavily on the UK’s lagging survival rates compared with other similar countries. And our tendency to diagnose some patients later, when survival can be poorer, has come under scrutiny as a key factor.

Why might the UK diagnose cancers less effectively? As Professor Sean Duffy, NHS England’s Clinical Director for Cancer, recently told a meeting of cancer surgeons, many suspect that our cancer patients are getting trapped in ever more complex and growing waiting lists, and that GPs are acting perhaps too effectively as gatekeepers for getting worrying symptoms properly checked out.

In an attempt to improve things, in June the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) recently published new Referral Guidelines for Suspected Cancer. The aim was to make it easier for GPs to refer patients, for either tests or to see a specialist, sooner and shift the stage patients are diagnosed to an earlier point in their disease.

While providing such rapid diagnosis and investigation will challenge the NHS’s already hard-pressed resources, such a shift in culture will undoubtedly save lives.

But the guidelines aren’t perfect and, in particular, many of us who treat patients diagnosed with oral cancers believe NICE has got it slightly wrong. So when I found myself invited onto the advisory group to work on Cancer Research UK’s new oral cancer toolkit, I saw an opportunity to influence things. And I found that other experts in the group shared similar views to mine.

Oral cancer – early diagnosis is crucial

Ms Richard Shaw2-200x200

I’ve seen first-hand the effect of diagnosing oral cancers late – Prof Richard Shaw

Over the 15 years I’ve been practicing, I’ve seen first-hand the effects of diagnosing oral cancers late. Stage I and II disease can have excellent outcomes, with around eight or nine out of ten patients surviving for five years or more, often after relatively simple treatment.

But patients with more advanced stages (III and IV) often need complex treatment – radiotherapy, even chemotherapy – and even so, just three or four out of ten survive for five years.

Unfortunately around half of the patients I see fall into this latter category.

Clearly, there are improvements to be made – especially when, in many cases, the suspicious symptoms are relatively clear cut.

Spotting it early

It’s generally agreed that all patients with worrying symptoms such as persistent oral ulcers or lumps should be referred for specialist opinion promptly. But crucially, it’s also become clear that dentists, as well as GPs, can play a role in spotting these signs – particularly as they have a higher level of expertise and experience in oral examination.

And here lies an unfortunate paradox: while only around half the UK population is registered with a dentist, or regularly goes for check-ups, oral cancer rates are higher among people who don’t have easy access to a dentist – particularly people from lower-income groups.

In part, this is thought to be linked to their often higher rates of things that increase the risk of oral cancer, such as smoking and drinking alcohol.

So clearly, both GPs and dentists have a role to play in referring people with signs of mouth cancer.

The guidelines

According to the NICE guidelines, for certain symptoms a GP should cross-refer a patient to a dentist, to get a second opinion – the idea being that the latter are better equipped to spot less serious conditions, and so spare hard-pressed diagnostic clinics.

But those of us who ultimately treat and manage the disease are extremely worried that this extra step merely introduces further delays in the system, and for some patients this could ultimately lead to them doing worse.

This issue is potentially made worse when you consider that some patients don’t fully appreciate the seriousness of their cross-referral and, effectively, get lost in the system.

So cross-referral would seem to fly in the face of the ethos of the new guidelines – namely to open up NHS diagnostic services to more patients, spot more cancers earlier, improve the care and patients subsequently receive – and ultimately their chances of long-term survival.

For this reason, when we drew up the Oral Cancer Toolkit, we decided to take the unusual step of deviating from NICE guidelines, instead making a more simple recommendation:  that GPs and dentists should consider referring patients directly for further investigation if they have:

  • Ulcers lasting more than 3 weeks
  • A lump in the mouth or on the lip
  • A lump in the neck
  • Red or red and white patches in their mouths

This wasn’t a decision we took lightly – but given the huge impact an earlier diagnosis has on a patient’s experience and outcome, it was one we felt was necessary.

Together with the new educational content aimed at both dentists and doctors, we hope that many cases will be referred much earlier in the future, and more patients will ultimately survive oral cancer.

– Professor Richard Shaw is a surgeon specialising in head & neck and oral cancers, based at the University of Liverpool



from Cancer Research UK - Science blog http://ift.tt/1MHLIMl
WS Shaw + dental patient-620
WS Shaw + dental patient-620

To help GPs and dentists diagnose patients faster, we recently launched our new Oral Cancer Toolkit in partnership with the British Dental Association and the Royal College of General Practitioners. Here, Professor Richard Shaw, a mouth cancer specialist who helped create it, explains why the toolkit recommends a departure from the recently published NICE referral guidelines.

If we want to improve the UK’s survival rates, early diagnosis matters. Indeed, the recent debate over future NHS cancer policy has focused heavily on the UK’s lagging survival rates compared with other similar countries. And our tendency to diagnose some patients later, when survival can be poorer, has come under scrutiny as a key factor.

Why might the UK diagnose cancers less effectively? As Professor Sean Duffy, NHS England’s Clinical Director for Cancer, recently told a meeting of cancer surgeons, many suspect that our cancer patients are getting trapped in ever more complex and growing waiting lists, and that GPs are acting perhaps too effectively as gatekeepers for getting worrying symptoms properly checked out.

In an attempt to improve things, in June the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) recently published new Referral Guidelines for Suspected Cancer. The aim was to make it easier for GPs to refer patients, for either tests or to see a specialist, sooner and shift the stage patients are diagnosed to an earlier point in their disease.

While providing such rapid diagnosis and investigation will challenge the NHS’s already hard-pressed resources, such a shift in culture will undoubtedly save lives.

But the guidelines aren’t perfect and, in particular, many of us who treat patients diagnosed with oral cancers believe NICE has got it slightly wrong. So when I found myself invited onto the advisory group to work on Cancer Research UK’s new oral cancer toolkit, I saw an opportunity to influence things. And I found that other experts in the group shared similar views to mine.

Oral cancer – early diagnosis is crucial

Ms Richard Shaw2-200x200

I’ve seen first-hand the effect of diagnosing oral cancers late – Prof Richard Shaw

Over the 15 years I’ve been practicing, I’ve seen first-hand the effects of diagnosing oral cancers late. Stage I and II disease can have excellent outcomes, with around eight or nine out of ten patients surviving for five years or more, often after relatively simple treatment.

But patients with more advanced stages (III and IV) often need complex treatment – radiotherapy, even chemotherapy – and even so, just three or four out of ten survive for five years.

Unfortunately around half of the patients I see fall into this latter category.

Clearly, there are improvements to be made – especially when, in many cases, the suspicious symptoms are relatively clear cut.

Spotting it early

It’s generally agreed that all patients with worrying symptoms such as persistent oral ulcers or lumps should be referred for specialist opinion promptly. But crucially, it’s also become clear that dentists, as well as GPs, can play a role in spotting these signs – particularly as they have a higher level of expertise and experience in oral examination.

And here lies an unfortunate paradox: while only around half the UK population is registered with a dentist, or regularly goes for check-ups, oral cancer rates are higher among people who don’t have easy access to a dentist – particularly people from lower-income groups.

In part, this is thought to be linked to their often higher rates of things that increase the risk of oral cancer, such as smoking and drinking alcohol.

So clearly, both GPs and dentists have a role to play in referring people with signs of mouth cancer.

The guidelines

According to the NICE guidelines, for certain symptoms a GP should cross-refer a patient to a dentist, to get a second opinion – the idea being that the latter are better equipped to spot less serious conditions, and so spare hard-pressed diagnostic clinics.

But those of us who ultimately treat and manage the disease are extremely worried that this extra step merely introduces further delays in the system, and for some patients this could ultimately lead to them doing worse.

This issue is potentially made worse when you consider that some patients don’t fully appreciate the seriousness of their cross-referral and, effectively, get lost in the system.

So cross-referral would seem to fly in the face of the ethos of the new guidelines – namely to open up NHS diagnostic services to more patients, spot more cancers earlier, improve the care and patients subsequently receive – and ultimately their chances of long-term survival.

For this reason, when we drew up the Oral Cancer Toolkit, we decided to take the unusual step of deviating from NICE guidelines, instead making a more simple recommendation:  that GPs and dentists should consider referring patients directly for further investigation if they have:

  • Ulcers lasting more than 3 weeks
  • A lump in the mouth or on the lip
  • A lump in the neck
  • Red or red and white patches in their mouths

This wasn’t a decision we took lightly – but given the huge impact an earlier diagnosis has on a patient’s experience and outcome, it was one we felt was necessary.

Together with the new educational content aimed at both dentists and doctors, we hope that many cases will be referred much earlier in the future, and more patients will ultimately survive oral cancer.

– Professor Richard Shaw is a surgeon specialising in head & neck and oral cancers, based at the University of Liverpool



from Cancer Research UK - Science blog http://ift.tt/1MHLIMl

Moon, Castor and Pollux on November 27

When the moon is no longer around to guide you, star-hop to Castor and Pollux from the constellation Orion. Simply draw an imaginary line from the bright star Rigel through the bright star Betelgeuse, going a solid two times the Rigel-Betelgeuse distance

When the moon is no longer around to guide you, star-hop to Castor and Pollux from the constellation Orion. Simply draw an imaginary line from the bright star Rigel through the bright star Betelgeuse, going a solid two times the Rigel-Betelgeuse distance

Use the Big Dipper bowl to star-hop to Castor and Pollux

Use the Big Dipper bowl to star-hop to Castor and Pollux

EarthSky lunar calendars are here! Don’t miss ’em

Tonight and tomorrow night – November 27 and 28, 2015 – before going to bed, look for the moon in your eastern sky. It’ll be a bright waning gibbous moon, and you might notice two bright stars in its vicinity. These stars are noticeable for being both bright and close together on the sky’s dome. They are Castor and Pollux in the constellation Gemini. From mid-northern latitudes, the threesome appears over the horizon by around 9 to 10 p.m. In the Southern Hemisphere, the stars Castor and Pollux won’t climb over the horizon until much later tonight.

The constellation Orion is also fairly close to the moon on November 27 and 28, and the Giant Hunter might dazzle you with his many bright stars. You’ll always know you’re seeing Orion if you notice its Belt stars: three medium-bright stars in a short, straight row.

Several days from now, when the moon drops out of the constellation Gemini, you can always star-hop to Castor and Pollux from Orion. Simply draw an imaginary line from the bright star Rigel through the bright star Betelgeuse, going a solid two times the Rigel-Betelgeuse distance. This way of finding the Gemini stars Castor and Pollux works in both the Northern and Southern Hemispheres.

At mid-northern latitudes – like those in the mainland United States – the constellations Gemini and Orion rise at approximately the same time. However, at more northerly latitudes – like those in Alaska – Gemini rises before Orion. That far north, the Big Dipper is visible at early evening, so you can use the Big Dipper bowl to star-hop to Castor and Pollux.

At more southerly latitudes, as in the northern tropics and the Southern Hemisphere, Orion rises before Gemini.

The starry sky is one great big connect-the-dots book. Learn how to star-hop with certain key stars, and you can more easily orient yourself to the night sky when traveling to faraway latitudes.

Because the moon moves eastward through the constellations of the Zodiac, it will rise later tomorrow night, on November 28. The green line displays the ecliptic - the sun's apparent yearly path in front of the backdrop stars of the Zodiac.

Because the moon moves eastward through the constellations of the Zodiac, it will rise later tomorrow night, on November 28. The green line displays the ecliptic – the sun’s apparent yearly path in front of the backdrop stars of the Zodiac.

Bottom line: The waning gibbous moon offers some guidance tonight, as its shines between the constellation Orion and the Gemini stars Castor and Pollux.

EarthSky astronomy kits are perfect for beginners. Order yours from the EarthSky store.

Donate: Your support means the world to us



from EarthSky http://ift.tt/1QKxPky
When the moon is no longer around to guide you, star-hop to Castor and Pollux from the constellation Orion. Simply draw an imaginary line from the bright star Rigel through the bright star Betelgeuse, going a solid two times the Rigel-Betelgeuse distance

When the moon is no longer around to guide you, star-hop to Castor and Pollux from the constellation Orion. Simply draw an imaginary line from the bright star Rigel through the bright star Betelgeuse, going a solid two times the Rigel-Betelgeuse distance

Use the Big Dipper bowl to star-hop to Castor and Pollux

Use the Big Dipper bowl to star-hop to Castor and Pollux

EarthSky lunar calendars are here! Don’t miss ’em

Tonight and tomorrow night – November 27 and 28, 2015 – before going to bed, look for the moon in your eastern sky. It’ll be a bright waning gibbous moon, and you might notice two bright stars in its vicinity. These stars are noticeable for being both bright and close together on the sky’s dome. They are Castor and Pollux in the constellation Gemini. From mid-northern latitudes, the threesome appears over the horizon by around 9 to 10 p.m. In the Southern Hemisphere, the stars Castor and Pollux won’t climb over the horizon until much later tonight.

The constellation Orion is also fairly close to the moon on November 27 and 28, and the Giant Hunter might dazzle you with his many bright stars. You’ll always know you’re seeing Orion if you notice its Belt stars: three medium-bright stars in a short, straight row.

Several days from now, when the moon drops out of the constellation Gemini, you can always star-hop to Castor and Pollux from Orion. Simply draw an imaginary line from the bright star Rigel through the bright star Betelgeuse, going a solid two times the Rigel-Betelgeuse distance. This way of finding the Gemini stars Castor and Pollux works in both the Northern and Southern Hemispheres.

At mid-northern latitudes – like those in the mainland United States – the constellations Gemini and Orion rise at approximately the same time. However, at more northerly latitudes – like those in Alaska – Gemini rises before Orion. That far north, the Big Dipper is visible at early evening, so you can use the Big Dipper bowl to star-hop to Castor and Pollux.

At more southerly latitudes, as in the northern tropics and the Southern Hemisphere, Orion rises before Gemini.

The starry sky is one great big connect-the-dots book. Learn how to star-hop with certain key stars, and you can more easily orient yourself to the night sky when traveling to faraway latitudes.

Because the moon moves eastward through the constellations of the Zodiac, it will rise later tomorrow night, on November 28. The green line displays the ecliptic - the sun's apparent yearly path in front of the backdrop stars of the Zodiac.

Because the moon moves eastward through the constellations of the Zodiac, it will rise later tomorrow night, on November 28. The green line displays the ecliptic – the sun’s apparent yearly path in front of the backdrop stars of the Zodiac.

Bottom line: The waning gibbous moon offers some guidance tonight, as its shines between the constellation Orion and the Gemini stars Castor and Pollux.

EarthSky astronomy kits are perfect for beginners. Order yours from the EarthSky store.

Donate: Your support means the world to us



from EarthSky http://ift.tt/1QKxPky

087/366: Happy Thanksgiving [Uncertain Principles]

We’re at my parents’ house in Scenic Whitney Point, NY, for Thanksgiving, so of course there’s only one appropriate subject for the photo of the day:

Thanksgiving dinner.

Thanksgiving dinner.

That’s our traditional turkey dinner, from my seat at the table. We ate very, very well, as always, and the kids have been generally very good (with a few minor squabbles). SteelyKid got bored during dinner, but I made up some math problems to entertain her, so all is well.

If you’re celebrating Thanksgiving, I hope your day was full of awesome food and family and other stuff to be thankful for. If this isn’t a holiday you observe, well, I hope your random November Thursday had those things, too.



from ScienceBlogs http://ift.tt/1lMZd4I

We’re at my parents’ house in Scenic Whitney Point, NY, for Thanksgiving, so of course there’s only one appropriate subject for the photo of the day:

Thanksgiving dinner.

Thanksgiving dinner.

That’s our traditional turkey dinner, from my seat at the table. We ate very, very well, as always, and the kids have been generally very good (with a few minor squabbles). SteelyKid got bored during dinner, but I made up some math problems to entertain her, so all is well.

If you’re celebrating Thanksgiving, I hope your day was full of awesome food and family and other stuff to be thankful for. If this isn’t a holiday you observe, well, I hope your random November Thursday had those things, too.



from ScienceBlogs http://ift.tt/1lMZd4I

Best Science Books 2015: Amazon.com [Confessions of a Science Librarian]

As you all have no doubt noticed over the years, I love highlighting the best science books every year via the various end of year lists that newspapers, web sites, etc. publish. I’ve done it so far in 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013 and 2014.

And here we are in 2015!

As in previous years, my definition of “science books” is pretty inclusive, including books on technology, engineering, nature, the environment, science policy, history & philosophy of science, geek culture and whatever else seems to be relevant in my opinion.

Today’s list is from Amazon.com. The actual sub-lists I’m using are: Science, Biographies & Memoirs, Business & Investing, History, Nonfiction, Sports & Outdoors.

  • Thing Explainer: Complicated Stuff in Simple by Randall Munroe
  • Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind by Yuval Noah Harari
  • The Invention of Nature: Alexander von Humboldt’s New World by Andrea Wulf
  • The Soul of an Octopus: A Surprising Exploration into the Wonder of Consciousness by Sy Montgomery
  • The Master Algorithm: How the Quest for the Ultimate Learning Machine Will Remake Our World by Pedro Domingos
  • SuperBetter: A Revolutionary Approach to Getting Stronger, Happier, Braver and More Resilient by Jane McGonigal
  • Voices in the Ocean: A Journey into the Wild and Haunting World of Dolphins by Susan Casey
  • The Secret Lives of Bats: My Adventures with the World’s Most Misunderstood Mammals by Merlin Tuttle
  • Do No Harm: Stories of Life, Death, and Brain Surgery by Henry Marsh
  • The Patient Will See You Now: The Future of Medicine is in Your Hands by Eric Topol
  • Life on the Edge: The Coming of Age of Quantum Biology by Johnjoe Mcfadden and Jim Al-Khalili
  • Forensics: What Bugs, Burns, Prints, DNA and More Tell Us About Crime by Val McDermid
  • How to Raise a Wild Child: The Art and Science of Falling in Love with Nature by Scott D. Sampson
  • Beneath the Surface: Killer Whales, SeaWorld, and the Truth Beyond Blackfish by John Hargrove and Howard Chua-Eoan
  • Fastest Things on Wings: Rescuing Hummingbirds in Hollywood by Terry Masear
  • Resurrection Science: Conservation, De-Extinction and the Precarious Future of Wild Things by M. R. O’Connor
  • Tales from Both Sides of the Brain: A Life in Neuroscience by Michael S. Gazzaniga
  • What Stands in a Storm: A True Story of Love and Resilience in the Worst Superstorm in History by Kim Cross and Rick Bragg
  • The Interstellar Age: Inside the Forty-Year Voyager Mission by Jim Bell
  • The Fly Trap by Fredrik Sjöberg and Thomas Teal
  • On the Move: A Life by Oliver Sacks
  • Elon Musk: Tesla, SpaceX, and the Quest for a Fantastic Future by Ashlee Vance
  • Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner
  • Rise of the Robots: Technology and the Threat of a Jobless Future by Martin Ford
  • Future Crimes: Everything Is Connected, Everyone Is Vulnerable and What We Can Do About It by Marc Goodman
  • Data and Goliath: The Hidden Battles to Collect Your Data and Control Your World by Bruce Schneier
  • Becoming Steve Jobs: The Evolution of a Reckless Upstart into a Visionary Leader by Brent Schlender and Rick Tetzeli
  • Marissa Mayer and the Fight to Save Yahoo! by Nicholas Carlson
  • The Pentagon’s Brain: An Uncensored History of DARPA, America’s Top-Secret Military Research Agency by Annie Jacobsen
  • Digital Gold: Bitcoin and the Inside Story of the Misfits and Millionaires Trying to Reinvent Money by Nathaniel Popper
  • The Butterflies of North America: Titian Peale’s Lost Manuscript by Kenneth Haltman and Titian Peale
  • Fastest Things on Wings: Rescuing Hummingbirds in Hollywood by Terry Masear

And check out my previous 2015 lists here!

Many of the lists I use are sourced via the Largehearted Boy master list.

(Astute readers will notice that I kind of petered out on this project a couple of years ago and never got around to the end of year summary since then. Before loosing steam, I ended up featuring dozens and dozens of lists, virtually every list I could find that had science books on it. While it was kind of cool to be so comprehensive, not to mention that it gave the summary posts a certain statistical weight, it was also way more work than I had really envisioned way back in 2008 or so when I started doing this. As a result, I’m only going to highlight particularly large or noteworthy lists this year and forgo any kind of end of year summary. Basically, all the fun but not so much of the drudgery.)



from ScienceBlogs http://ift.tt/1QJRnW9

As you all have no doubt noticed over the years, I love highlighting the best science books every year via the various end of year lists that newspapers, web sites, etc. publish. I’ve done it so far in 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013 and 2014.

And here we are in 2015!

As in previous years, my definition of “science books” is pretty inclusive, including books on technology, engineering, nature, the environment, science policy, history & philosophy of science, geek culture and whatever else seems to be relevant in my opinion.

Today’s list is from Amazon.com. The actual sub-lists I’m using are: Science, Biographies & Memoirs, Business & Investing, History, Nonfiction, Sports & Outdoors.

  • Thing Explainer: Complicated Stuff in Simple by Randall Munroe
  • Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind by Yuval Noah Harari
  • The Invention of Nature: Alexander von Humboldt’s New World by Andrea Wulf
  • The Soul of an Octopus: A Surprising Exploration into the Wonder of Consciousness by Sy Montgomery
  • The Master Algorithm: How the Quest for the Ultimate Learning Machine Will Remake Our World by Pedro Domingos
  • SuperBetter: A Revolutionary Approach to Getting Stronger, Happier, Braver and More Resilient by Jane McGonigal
  • Voices in the Ocean: A Journey into the Wild and Haunting World of Dolphins by Susan Casey
  • The Secret Lives of Bats: My Adventures with the World’s Most Misunderstood Mammals by Merlin Tuttle
  • Do No Harm: Stories of Life, Death, and Brain Surgery by Henry Marsh
  • The Patient Will See You Now: The Future of Medicine is in Your Hands by Eric Topol
  • Life on the Edge: The Coming of Age of Quantum Biology by Johnjoe Mcfadden and Jim Al-Khalili
  • Forensics: What Bugs, Burns, Prints, DNA and More Tell Us About Crime by Val McDermid
  • How to Raise a Wild Child: The Art and Science of Falling in Love with Nature by Scott D. Sampson
  • Beneath the Surface: Killer Whales, SeaWorld, and the Truth Beyond Blackfish by John Hargrove and Howard Chua-Eoan
  • Fastest Things on Wings: Rescuing Hummingbirds in Hollywood by Terry Masear
  • Resurrection Science: Conservation, De-Extinction and the Precarious Future of Wild Things by M. R. O’Connor
  • Tales from Both Sides of the Brain: A Life in Neuroscience by Michael S. Gazzaniga
  • What Stands in a Storm: A True Story of Love and Resilience in the Worst Superstorm in History by Kim Cross and Rick Bragg
  • The Interstellar Age: Inside the Forty-Year Voyager Mission by Jim Bell
  • The Fly Trap by Fredrik Sjöberg and Thomas Teal
  • On the Move: A Life by Oliver Sacks
  • Elon Musk: Tesla, SpaceX, and the Quest for a Fantastic Future by Ashlee Vance
  • Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner
  • Rise of the Robots: Technology and the Threat of a Jobless Future by Martin Ford
  • Future Crimes: Everything Is Connected, Everyone Is Vulnerable and What We Can Do About It by Marc Goodman
  • Data and Goliath: The Hidden Battles to Collect Your Data and Control Your World by Bruce Schneier
  • Becoming Steve Jobs: The Evolution of a Reckless Upstart into a Visionary Leader by Brent Schlender and Rick Tetzeli
  • Marissa Mayer and the Fight to Save Yahoo! by Nicholas Carlson
  • The Pentagon’s Brain: An Uncensored History of DARPA, America’s Top-Secret Military Research Agency by Annie Jacobsen
  • Digital Gold: Bitcoin and the Inside Story of the Misfits and Millionaires Trying to Reinvent Money by Nathaniel Popper
  • The Butterflies of North America: Titian Peale’s Lost Manuscript by Kenneth Haltman and Titian Peale
  • Fastest Things on Wings: Rescuing Hummingbirds in Hollywood by Terry Masear

And check out my previous 2015 lists here!

Many of the lists I use are sourced via the Largehearted Boy master list.

(Astute readers will notice that I kind of petered out on this project a couple of years ago and never got around to the end of year summary since then. Before loosing steam, I ended up featuring dozens and dozens of lists, virtually every list I could find that had science books on it. While it was kind of cool to be so comprehensive, not to mention that it gave the summary posts a certain statistical weight, it was also way more work than I had really envisioned way back in 2008 or so when I started doing this. As a result, I’m only going to highlight particularly large or noteworthy lists this year and forgo any kind of end of year summary. Basically, all the fun but not so much of the drudgery.)



from ScienceBlogs http://ift.tt/1QJRnW9

Global Warming Did Not Pause [Greg Laden's Blog]

You’ve heard much about the so-called “pause” or “hiatus” in global warming.

One of the implications of a multi-year “pause” in global warming is that the science of global warming must be somehow wrong, because with CO2 rising in atmosphere, due to human activity, how can the surface not warm? However, surface temperatures have been rising, but at a somewhat slower rate than at some other times.

The truth is that there is a lot of variation in that upward trending surface temperature value, measured as an anomaly above expected temperatures. Sometimes the variation pushes the rate of warming up, sometimes it pushes the rate of warming down. This has always happened, and will always happen.

So there was something of a lowering of rate of surface warming, but at the same time, no such reduction in rate of ocean warming. Most of the heat from global warming is added to the ocean, not the surface. So, the reality is, global warming has been continuing apace.

One of the factors involved in a slowdown is probably the fact that the Pacific Ocean has been absorbing more heat, for a longer period, relatively uninterrupted by large El Ninos (which reverse that trend), for longer than usual. This year’s El Nino is returning some of that heat to the atmosphere. But even before El Nino kicked in, we were having month after month of record breaking heat (with the very rare month not being a record breaker) for a long time.

Anyway, a couple of papers have recently been published that look once more at the “pause” and I wanted to point them out. The best way to get at these papers is to read the guest commentary by tephan Lewandowsky, James Risbey, and Naomi Oreskes on RealClimate.org: Hiatus or Bye-atus?

The idea that global warming has “stopped” has long been a contrarian talking point. This framing has found entry into the scientific literature and there are now numerous articles that address a presumed recent “pause” or “hiatus” in global warming. Moreover, the “hiatus” also featured as an accepted fact in the latest IPCC report (AR5). Notwithstanding its widespread use in public and apparent acceptance in the scientific community, there are reasons to be skeptical of the existence of a “hiatus” or “pause” in global warming …. We have examined this issue in a series of three recent papers, which have converged on the conclusion that there is not now, and there never has been, a hiatus or pause in global warming.

Just go and read the post, and if you like, the links therein.



from ScienceBlogs http://ift.tt/1OiRdUh

You’ve heard much about the so-called “pause” or “hiatus” in global warming.

One of the implications of a multi-year “pause” in global warming is that the science of global warming must be somehow wrong, because with CO2 rising in atmosphere, due to human activity, how can the surface not warm? However, surface temperatures have been rising, but at a somewhat slower rate than at some other times.

The truth is that there is a lot of variation in that upward trending surface temperature value, measured as an anomaly above expected temperatures. Sometimes the variation pushes the rate of warming up, sometimes it pushes the rate of warming down. This has always happened, and will always happen.

So there was something of a lowering of rate of surface warming, but at the same time, no such reduction in rate of ocean warming. Most of the heat from global warming is added to the ocean, not the surface. So, the reality is, global warming has been continuing apace.

One of the factors involved in a slowdown is probably the fact that the Pacific Ocean has been absorbing more heat, for a longer period, relatively uninterrupted by large El Ninos (which reverse that trend), for longer than usual. This year’s El Nino is returning some of that heat to the atmosphere. But even before El Nino kicked in, we were having month after month of record breaking heat (with the very rare month not being a record breaker) for a long time.

Anyway, a couple of papers have recently been published that look once more at the “pause” and I wanted to point them out. The best way to get at these papers is to read the guest commentary by tephan Lewandowsky, James Risbey, and Naomi Oreskes on RealClimate.org: Hiatus or Bye-atus?

The idea that global warming has “stopped” has long been a contrarian talking point. This framing has found entry into the scientific literature and there are now numerous articles that address a presumed recent “pause” or “hiatus” in global warming. Moreover, the “hiatus” also featured as an accepted fact in the latest IPCC report (AR5). Notwithstanding its widespread use in public and apparent acceptance in the scientific community, there are reasons to be skeptical of the existence of a “hiatus” or “pause” in global warming …. We have examined this issue in a series of three recent papers, which have converged on the conclusion that there is not now, and there never has been, a hiatus or pause in global warming.

Just go and read the post, and if you like, the links therein.



from ScienceBlogs http://ift.tt/1OiRdUh

Yet Another Record Breaking Hurricane: Sandra [Greg Laden's Blog]

Sandra is a Category 4 hurricane in the Eastern Pacific. The storm will hit Mexico.

Sandra breaks several records. It is the first observed Category 4 hurricane on Thanksgiving Day. It is the latest major Western Hemisphere hurricane observed. It is the latest Category 4 storm in either the eastern Pacific of Atlantic basins. Most likely, Sandra will become the latest landfalling tropical cyclone on record for Mexico.

(Jeff Masters has details.)

Sandra will come near the southern time of the Baja late Friday, but will likely be a tropical storm at that point. The storm will come ashore overnight or Saturday morning as a tropical depression (or maybe a weak tropical storm) in Sinaloa. So, this may be a case of the rare Eastern Pacific hurricane reaching land, but as a rainstorm rather than a threatening tropical storm.

This year’s record tropical storm activity is rather astonishing and is a result of a combination of continued global surface warming (which is thought to contribute to an overall increase in the frequency and severity of major storms) and this year’s very strong El Niño.



from ScienceBlogs http://ift.tt/1OiRdUb

Sandra is a Category 4 hurricane in the Eastern Pacific. The storm will hit Mexico.

Sandra breaks several records. It is the first observed Category 4 hurricane on Thanksgiving Day. It is the latest major Western Hemisphere hurricane observed. It is the latest Category 4 storm in either the eastern Pacific of Atlantic basins. Most likely, Sandra will become the latest landfalling tropical cyclone on record for Mexico.

(Jeff Masters has details.)

Sandra will come near the southern time of the Baja late Friday, but will likely be a tropical storm at that point. The storm will come ashore overnight or Saturday morning as a tropical depression (or maybe a weak tropical storm) in Sinaloa. So, this may be a case of the rare Eastern Pacific hurricane reaching land, but as a rainstorm rather than a threatening tropical storm.

This year’s record tropical storm activity is rather astonishing and is a result of a combination of continued global surface warming (which is thought to contribute to an overall increase in the frequency and severity of major storms) and this year’s very strong El Niño.



from ScienceBlogs http://ift.tt/1OiRdUb

adds 2